HorsePlayerU

TrackSideEye

pairstretch2Pan.jpg (19106 bytes)

Ability-X Ratings.... the past performance format that works for you.

Ability... it is what you are betting on.

While all forms of past performance handicapping guess at ability, Ability-X is the ability.

You can also get some instructional examples from Saratoga.

me.jpg (108508 bytes)

Who am I?

 

pairatfin.jpg (22896 bytes)

The Limits of Handicapping


2010 Saratoga Special

Only $39.95 if you act NOW!

Get the complete 2010 meeting, INCLUDING Ability-X ratings and results for Saratoga '09, and '08. You will be shocked to see how well the past does predict the future.

There is no more powerful advantage for a bettor to have, and I will limit it to the first 100 subscribers.

Ability-X Ratings Saratoga

2008,2009,2010

Solution Graphics

First 100 Subscribers will be able to make Pars for Saratoga based on 2 previous meetings. This will give you an unfair advantage for every type of wager you can make on Saratoga. From winners to Superfectas, tp serial win bets like the pick six.

 


 

Finally... a rating that you can just play.

When you can bet on ability, you will win consistently. There is only one factor that plays a major role in the outcome of every horse race, and it is not speed. It is not time, or luck, or the skill of the horsemen involved. It is the ability of the horse to execute a winning run over today's distance of ground. While the past performance handicapper always needs a new method, a new angle, or even a new excuse to make the dim prospect of consistent failure shine just long enough... the bettor of ability knows that ability will always come through. Just as it always has. There is no greater constant in this sport.

 

Gulfstream Park - Friday 1/29/10


1st - 8fD Par 180/90

#/PST/ErlSpd /ML/Comp

285    4    95    12     380
235    5    94    15    329
316    6    93    20    409
203    8     91    2    294
225    3    90    1.6  315
250    7    87    20   337
215    2     85    6    300
249    1    85    4    334

8    Shady Spot     7.40    3.80     3.00
2    Ruckus N Roll    4.20     3.60
5    Shehaseyesforyou      7.40

$2 Exacta    $28.00        8-2  

3rd - 6.5fD Par 340/94

#/PST/ErlSpd /ML/Comp

268    6    95     8    363
261    1    94    2     355
270    5    92    4    362
253    2    89     8    342
307    4    87    12  394
306    8    86    6     392
317    3    82    3    399

2    Favorite Flashback      22.00    7.40     5.80
1    B L's Noise      2.60    2.40
4    Comprise             6.40

Ability-X ratings bring the entertainment back to horseracing by providing you with a method of betting intelligently, without the work and all the brain busting effort of handicapping. The lowest rating is a consistent winner, no matter how much you think about it.

Saratoga 8/15/2009

5th - 8fT Par 50/85

#/PST/ErlSpd /ML/Comp

132    5    93    20     225
33    9    90    2.5     123
98    7    90    15    188
95    1    87    6    182
101    4    87  10    188
102    8    86  3.5    188
108    6    83  10    191
104    3    81  4    185
151    2    0    8     151
9    Peace Wine    8.10     5.20    3.80


 

6th - 6fD Par 320/97

#/PST/ErlSpd /ML/Comp

361    3    99    5     460
460    7    98    30   558
322    9    95    15    417
327    8    95    6    422
263    6    94    2.5 357
297    2    94    4    391
166    4    0    20     166
273    5    0    8    273
136    1    0    12    136
183    1A  0   12    183
380    10  0    6    380

9    Heavenly Blaze   51.50     19.40    7.20
8    Star of New York     10.60    5.10

$2 Exacta    $258.00         9-8

 

7th - 8.5fT Par 50/85

#/PST/ErlSpd /ML/Comp

78    11    89    20     167
48    8    86    15     134
77    1    85    8    162
83    4    83    2.5    166
93     2    83    8    86
88    3    81    5    169
89    6    80    3    169
78    5    80    12    158
77    7    80    6    157
86    9    79    50    165
8    Prince Dubai   57.50     26.00    9.60

As you can see, low and/or closest to par wins frequently, I think I'll leave this one where it is for awhile. I love the consistency of the 6f par, notice that #9 is exactly on par with the composite figure of 417. Again, the low rating is a strong indicator, and the par, very consistent.

The handicappers are pulling their hair out today.

 

The past performance handicapper is taught to juggle all kinds of variable factors, the truth of the matter is that most of them have little to no impact on the results today. When replaced with an accurate measure of ability, even the beginner can plainly see that they carry little weight. The proof hits the board everyday at every race track across America. A 10 - 1 winner surprises thousands of bettors that weighed out hundreds of factors... only to conclude that this horse wasn't "good enough" to win today.

If this happened once or twice, here and there, we could think that past performance factors still carried the weight. But, the horses with the "best" and "better" past performances lose 70% of the races on a daily basis. It is time for a past performance format that reveals one thing.

The ability of the thoroughbred to run a distance of ground.

Ability-X is simply an accurate measurement of a horses ability to run a distance of ground. While that is a simple concept, don't let the power of holding it in your hand get past you.

Saratoga 8/17/09

 

5th - 5.5fT Par 290/94

#/PST/ErlSpd /ML/Comp

339    8    100    8     439
294    5    98    6    392
271    10  95   3.5     366
342    3    94    15    436
307    2    93    20    400
278    9    91    5    369
273    1    91    10    364
319    4    90    30    409
330    7    89    6    419
259    6    89    3    348
10    Close to the Vest     6.00    3.70    2.80

 

 

6th - 8.5fT Par 50/85

#/PST/ErlSpd /ML/Comp

94      8     93    3    187
148    4    92    20    240
83      1    90     12    173
180    3    89    50    269
83      7    88    5     171
51      5    87     3.5    138
100    2    86    20    186
100    6    86    8    186
15    10    83    5     98
110    9    80    5    190
10    Staten Island Gal   13.80     6.20    4.70

$2 Superfecta    $2,905.00         10-5-8-1

 

7th - 7fD Par 150/90

#/PST/ErlSpd /ML/Comp

262    4    99    3     361
184    1    94    12    278
157    6    94    3.5    251
158    9    93    8    251
168    10  92    10    260
176    8    92    5    268
161    2    90    4.5    251
202    3    89    4    291
10    Top Lass    30.80     12.60    6.10

 

8th - 5.5fT Par 290/94

#/PST/ErlSpd /ML/Comp

289    4    100    6     389
252    5    97    4    349
255    2    96    15    351
233    1    94    3     327
235    8    94    10    329
230    3    92    12    322
225    9    90    8    315
232    10    89    15    321
236    6    86    10    322
1    Awakino Cat    7.10     4.20    3.00

 

#10 is closest to the new par, and gives another win. #10 brings in a price as the lowest rating, and the superfecta shows the power of the par range for 8.5fTurf. I didn't like any of these for a match, I prefer to stay around the par of 90 ES at 7f. I will move the "run" par to 170 in honor of this winner though. This is the feature race and they are all under par, it is safe to take the lowest rating at par ES of 94.

What can Ability-X ratings do for you?

This rating points out $130 winners as well as even money favorites. No handicapping angle, or speed rating can do this.

This is because Ability-X Ratings are based on the true consistencies of horse racing that are at play in every race, every distance, and in every class. All day long, at every track in the world.

Study of Ability-X ratings, and results of horse races, will teach you more about horse racing then all of the books ever written about handicapping.

The simple proof is, that after decades of handicapping books being written and read, there are still $130, $80, $75, $65, $40, $32, $23, and $5.60 winners for Ability-X ratings to point out.

With consideration to the realities of horse racing, Ability-X is the most consistently accurate rating that is offered anywhere, at any price. Take a look at this recent compilation of 6f races.

Basic horse racing knowledge is the key to winning with Ability-X ratings. The ratings themselves, and the use of them will give you that knowledge quickly and completely.

This does contrast quite sharply with the viewpoint of those that have been doing past performance handicapping for many years, but then those guys have been betting the chalk with crossed fingers for that whole time too. While never learning anything better.

Win without thinking, an accurate rating makes all things possible.

Win the easy way, take advantage of the Ability-X Ratings past and present offer for Saratoga at left. You will have the ratings and results for 2008 and 2009, it is like a big red arrow pointing to the winners for 2010.

Using Ability-X Ratings III

Will explain how to best use Ability-X ratings to make consistently profitable wagering decisions.

Read it... Save it

Ability... it is what you are betting on.

 

Copyright © Jon D. Luman 2007-10